Trilateral US-mediated meetings involving Russian and Ukrainian envoys occurred in Abu Dhabi in January and February 2026, followed by a Geneva round in mid-February focused on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, but produced no breakthrough on core disputes over territory or security guarantees. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed a direct bilateral meeting with Russian President Putin in June 2026, drawing European support, yet Russian officials rejected immediate face-to-face talks and stated in mid-July there were no near-term prospects for resuming negotiations. As of early August, stalled bilateral or trilateral diplomacy amid ongoing military operations continues to limit the likelihood of additional meetings before late-summer deadlines. Trader pricing reflects these barriers, with any near-term resolution hinging on shifts in US facilitation or battlefield developments that could reopen channels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
$411,324 Vol.
15 août
6%
August 31
25%
$411,324 Vol.
15 août
6%
August 31
25%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral US-mediated meetings involving Russian and Ukrainian envoys occurred in Abu Dhabi in January and February 2026, followed by a Geneva round in mid-February focused on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, but produced no breakthrough on core disputes over territory or security guarantees. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy proposed a direct bilateral meeting with Russian President Putin in June 2026, drawing European support, yet Russian officials rejected immediate face-to-face talks and stated in mid-July there were no near-term prospects for resuming negotiations. As of early August, stalled bilateral or trilateral diplomacy amid ongoing military operations continues to limit the likelihood of additional meetings before late-summer deadlines. Trader pricing reflects these barriers, with any near-term resolution hinging on shifts in US facilitation or battlefield developments that could reopen channels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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