**Persistent heavy rainfall episodes driven by multiple tropical systems and troughs pushed July 2026 precipitation in Hong Kong well above the long-term average of roughly 380 mm.** Early-month showers from Maysak’s outer bands delivered 40–80 mm locally, while an active southwesterly airstream and broad low-pressure trough produced over 200 mm across much of the territory between 16–21 July, with localized totals exceeding 300 mm. Typhoon Noul’s passage on 26 July added another 70–140 mm, followed by further outbreaks exceeding 100 mm from 27–30 July. These confirmed events from Hong Kong Observatory monitoring have produced a market-implied consensus above 600 mm. A downward revision in official totals or measurement discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given the scale and distribution of recorded rainfall.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à Hong Kong en juillet ?
Précipitations à Hong Kong en juillet ?
600 mm+ 100.0%
<400mm <1%
400-425 mm <1%
425-450 mm <1%
$58,448 Vol.
$58,448 Vol.
30 juil. 2026
<400mm
Non
400-425 mm
Non
425-450 mm
Non
450-475 mm
Non
475-500 mm
Non
500-525 mm
Non
525-550 mm
Non
550-575 mm
Non
575-600 mm
Non
600 mm+
Oui
600 mm+ 100.0%
<400mm <1%
400-425 mm <1%
425-450 mm <1%
$58,448 Vol.
$58,448 Vol.
30 juil. 2026
<400mm
$8,619 Vol.
Non
400-425 mm
$4,280 Vol.
Non
425-450 mm
$3,896 Vol.
Non
450-475 mm
$3,232 Vol.
Non
475-500 mm
$4,170 Vol.
Non
500-525 mm
$1,226 Vol.
Non
525-550 mm
$6,013 Vol.
Non
550-575 mm
$4,175 Vol.
Non
575-600 mm
$2,642 Vol.
Non
600 mm+
$20,194 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent heavy rainfall episodes driven by multiple tropical systems and troughs pushed July 2026 precipitation in Hong Kong well above the long-term average of roughly 380 mm.** Early-month showers from Maysak’s outer bands delivered 40–80 mm locally, while an active southwesterly airstream and broad low-pressure trough produced over 200 mm across much of the territory between 16–21 July, with localized totals exceeding 300 mm. Typhoon Noul’s passage on 26 July added another 70–140 mm, followed by further outbreaks exceeding 100 mm from 27–30 July. These confirmed events from Hong Kong Observatory monitoring have produced a market-implied consensus above 600 mm. A downward revision in official totals or measurement discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given the scale and distribution of recorded rainfall.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Volume
$58,448Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent heavy rainfall episodes driven by multiple tropical systems and troughs pushed July 2026 precipitation in Hong Kong well above the long-term average of roughly 380 mm.** Early-month showers from Maysak’s outer bands delivered 40–80 mm locally, while an active southwesterly airstream and broad low-pressure trough produced over 200 mm across much of the territory between 16–21 July, with localized totals exceeding 300 mm. Typhoon Noul’s passage on 26 July added another 70–140 mm, followed by further outbreaks exceeding 100 mm from 27–30 July. These confirmed events from Hong Kong Observatory monitoring have produced a market-implied consensus above 600 mm. A downward revision in official totals or measurement discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given the scale and distribution of recorded rainfall.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,448Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Persistent heavy rainfall episodes driven by multiple tropical systems and troughs pushed July 2026 precipitation in Hong Kong well above the long-term average of roughly 380 mm.** Early-month showers from Maysak’s outer bands delivered 40–80 mm locally, while an active southwesterly airstream and broad low-pressure trough produced over 200 mm across much of the territory between 16–21 July, with localized totals exceeding 300 mm. Typhoon Noul’s passage on 26 July added another 70–140 mm, followed by further outbreaks exceeding 100 mm from 27–30 July. These confirmed events from Hong Kong Observatory monitoring have produced a market-implied consensus above 600 mm. A downward revision in official totals or measurement discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given the scale and distribution of recorded rainfall.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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