PAS margin of victory?
>16% 100.0%
<4% <1%
4-8% <1%
8-12% <1%
$103,941 Vol.
$103,941 Vol.
Sep 28, 2025
<4%
$22,304 Vol.
No
4-8%
$12,891 Vol.
No
8-12%
$9,777 Vol.
No
12-16%
$13,760 Vol.
No
>16%
$45,208 Vol.
Yes
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on September 28, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the PAS (Party of Action and Solidarity; Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by PAS and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election.
If the PAS does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală, CEC) (https://a.cec.md/en).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on September 28, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the PAS (Party of Action and Solidarity; Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by PAS and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election.
If the PAS does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală, CEC) (https://a.cec.md/en).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the PAS (Party of Action and Solidarity; Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by PAS and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election.
If the PAS does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală, CEC) (https://a.cec.md/en).
Créé le : Sep 15, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$103,941Date de fin
Sep 28, 2025Créé le
Sep 15, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
PAS margin of victory?
>16% 100.0%
<4% <1%
4-8% <1%
8-12% <1%
$103,941 Vol.
$103,941 Vol.
Sep 28, 2025
<4%
$22,304 Vol.
No
4-8%
$12,891 Vol.
No
8-12%
$9,777 Vol.
No
12-16%
$13,760 Vol.
No
>16%
$45,208 Vol.
Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"PAS margin of victory?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">16%" at 100%, followed by "<4%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "PAS margin of victory?" has generated $103.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "PAS margin of victory?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "PAS margin of victory?" is ">16%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<4%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "PAS margin of victory?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions