Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Visual Effects market at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s prior category wins, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its December 18, 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a late-year awards contender with returning VFX supervisors and houses like DNEG. Project Hail Mary sits at 26% after its March 2026 debut, supported by roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and digital work under Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero trail further amid earlier releases or heavier practical emphasis that can divide the Academy’s VFX branch. With numerous other 2026 titles clustered near even odds due to limited liquidity this far out, the race hinges on critical reception, guild signals, and Dune’s ability to sustain franchise momentum through nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027 : Meilleur Effets Visuels
Oscars 2027 : Meilleur Effets Visuels
Dune : Partie Trois 54%
Projet Hail Mary 26%
L’Odyssée 12%
Godzilla Minus Zero 10.1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Dune : Partie Trois
54%
Projet Hail Mary
26%
L’Odyssée
12%
Godzilla Minus Zero
10%
Avengers : Doomsday
3%
Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau
3%
Dune : Partie Trois 54%
Projet Hail Mary 26%
L’Odyssée 12%
Godzilla Minus Zero 10.1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Dune : Partie Trois
$15,745 Vol.
54%
Projet Hail Mary
$1,626 Vol.
26%
L’Odyssée
$470 Vol.
12%
Godzilla Minus Zero
$483 Vol.
10%
Avengers : Doomsday
$423 Vol.
3%
Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau
$282 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Visual Effects market at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s prior category wins, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its December 18, 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a late-year awards contender with returning VFX supervisors and houses like DNEG. Project Hail Mary sits at 26% after its March 2026 debut, supported by roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and digital work under Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero trail further amid earlier releases or heavier practical emphasis that can divide the Academy’s VFX branch. With numerous other 2026 titles clustered near even odds due to limited liquidity this far out, the race hinges on critical reception, guild signals, and Dune’s ability to sustain franchise momentum through nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$19,029Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Visual Effects market at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s prior category wins, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its December 18, 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a late-year awards contender with returning VFX supervisors and houses like DNEG. Project Hail Mary sits at 26% after its March 2026 debut, supported by roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and digital work under Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero trail further amid earlier releases or heavier practical emphasis that can divide the Academy’s VFX branch. With numerous other 2026 titles clustered near even odds due to limited liquidity this far out, the race hinges on critical reception, guild signals, and Dune’s ability to sustain franchise momentum through nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,029Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Visual Effects market at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise’s prior category wins, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its December 18, 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a late-year awards contender with returning VFX supervisors and houses like DNEG. Project Hail Mary sits at 26% after its March 2026 debut, supported by roughly 2,000 VFX shots that blended practical sets and digital work under Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero trail further amid earlier releases or heavier practical emphasis that can divide the Academy’s VFX branch. With numerous other 2026 titles clustered near even odds due to limited liquidity this far out, the race hinges on critical reception, guild signals, and Dune’s ability to sustain franchise momentum through nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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