The 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor market shows no clear frontrunner, with a broad field of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability reflecting the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to generate sustained critical or guild momentum, leaving trader consensus driven by casting announcements, festival positioning, and historical patterns where supporting roles often emerge late from ensemble dramas or biopics. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics' groups, and eventual SAG-AFTRA and PGA nominations that typically narrow the field. Lower odds on names like Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson signal limited current buzz compared to the wide-open field, underscoring how late reviews, box office performance, and campaign narratives can rapidly shift sentiment before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 49%
Michael Fassbender 10.3%
Robert Pattinson 9.2%
Miles Teller 7.8%
$18,280 Vol.
$18,280 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
49%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Miles Teller
8%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Guy Pearce
6%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Edward Norton
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Travis Scott
3%

John Goodman
3%

Charles Melton
2%

Channing Tatum
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 49%
Michael Fassbender 10.3%
Robert Pattinson 9.2%
Miles Teller 7.8%
$18,280 Vol.
$18,280 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
49%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Miles Teller
8%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Guy Pearce
6%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Edward Norton
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Travis Scott
3%

John Goodman
3%

Charles Melton
2%

Channing Tatum
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor market shows no clear frontrunner, with a broad field of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability reflecting the early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to generate sustained critical or guild momentum, leaving trader consensus driven by casting announcements, festival positioning, and historical patterns where supporting roles often emerge late from ensemble dramas or biopics. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, precursor awards from critics' groups, and eventual SAG-AFTRA and PGA nominations that typically narrow the field. Lower odds on names like Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson signal limited current buzz compared to the wide-open field, underscoring how late reviews, box office performance, and campaign narratives can rapidly shift sentiment before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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