The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes premiere buzz, Best Director win for directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi, and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s contender. Critical reception for the queer historical epic, featuring Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, has positioned it as an early frontrunner ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A crowded field of official submissions—including Possible Love from South Korea, All of a Sudden from Japan, Coward from Belgium, and Palme d’Or winner Fjord from Romania—sits near 50% or lower as traders await guild signals, festival momentum, and the January 21 nominations. The secret-ballot academy process leaves room for late shifts before the March 2027 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027 : Meilleur long métrage international
Oscars 2027 : Meilleur long métrage international
Le Black Ball 68%
Possible Love 6.6%
All of a Sudden 6.5%
Fatherland 6.2%
$20,449 Vol.
$20,449 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Le Black Ball
68%
Possible Love
12%
All of a Sudden
6%
Fatherland
6%
Fjord
4%
Coward
1%
The Beloved
1%
Minotaur
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
Le Rêve d'une Aventure
<1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
Le Black Ball 68%
Possible Love 6.6%
All of a Sudden 6.5%
Fatherland 6.2%
$20,449 Vol.
$20,449 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Le Black Ball
$8,839 Vol.
68%
Possible Love
$857 Vol.
12%
All of a Sudden
$1,017 Vol.
6%
Fatherland
$1,417 Vol.
6%
Fjord
$1,537 Vol.
4%
Coward
$811 Vol.
1%
The Beloved
$773 Vol.
1%
Minotaur
$723 Vol.
1%
Bitter Christmas
$548 Vol.
1%
Parallel Tales
$715 Vol.
1%
Le Rêve d'une Aventure
$554 Vol.
<1%
Sheep in the Box
$694 Vol.
<1%
Rose
$569 Vol.
<1%
The Man I Love
$690 Vol.
<1%
Hope
$705 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes premiere buzz, Best Director win for directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi, and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s contender. Critical reception for the queer historical epic, featuring Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, has positioned it as an early frontrunner ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A crowded field of official submissions—including Possible Love from South Korea, All of a Sudden from Japan, Coward from Belgium, and Palme d’Or winner Fjord from Romania—sits near 50% or lower as traders await guild signals, festival momentum, and the January 21 nominations. The secret-ballot academy process leaves room for late shifts before the March 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$20,449Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes premiere buzz, Best Director win for directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi, and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s contender. Critical reception for the queer historical epic, featuring Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, has positioned it as an early frontrunner ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A crowded field of official submissions—including Possible Love from South Korea, All of a Sudden from Japan, Coward from Belgium, and Palme d’Or winner Fjord from Romania—sits near 50% or lower as traders await guild signals, festival momentum, and the January 21 nominations. The secret-ballot academy process leaves room for late shifts before the March 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,449Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at a 67.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes premiere buzz, Best Director win for directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi, and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s contender. Critical reception for the queer historical epic, featuring Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, has positioned it as an early frontrunner ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A crowded field of official submissions—including Possible Love from South Korea, All of a Sudden from Japan, Coward from Belgium, and Palme d’Or winner Fjord from Romania—sits near 50% or lower as traders await guild signals, festival momentum, and the January 21 nominations. The secret-ballot academy process leaves room for late shifts before the March 2027 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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