The Odyssey leads trader sentiment in the early Oscars 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer epic, which delivered strong box office returns exceeding $1.6 billion and critical acclaim near 94% on Rotten Tomatoes. Its prestige adaptation status, combined with Nolan’s recent Oscar history, gives it frontrunner positioning among writers branch voters who often reward literary pedigree and directorial cachet. The Black Ball and The Invite trail closely at 18.5–25%, reflecting solid early campaign momentum and source material strength, while Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three sit lower amid competition from other literary and sci-fi adaptations. With the field wide open nine months before nominations, guild results, festival debuts, and late-year releases remain key swing factors in this fluid race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 28%
The Invite 25%
The Black Ball 19%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$23,651 Vol.
$23,651 Vol.
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
28%
The Invite
25%
The Black Ball
19%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
Wildwood
6%
Dune: Part Three
5%
Ink
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Clarissa
2%
Cry to Heaven
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
Saturn Return
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
The Odyssey 28%
The Invite 25%
The Black Ball 19%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$23,651 Vol.
$23,651 Vol.
14 mars 2027
The Odyssey
$2,029 Vol.
28%
The Invite
$4,290 Vol.
25%
The Black Ball
$13,128 Vol.
19%
Project Hail Mary
$460 Vol.
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$246 Vol.
6%
Wildwood
$512 Vol.
6%
Dune: Part Three
$393 Vol.
5%
Ink
$829 Vol.
5%
The Social Reckoning
$232 Vol.
5%
Clarissa
$162 Vol.
2%
Cry to Heaven
$201 Vol.
1%
All of a Sudden
$475 Vol.
1%
Toy Story 5
$323 Vol.
1%
Saturn Return
$185 Vol.
1%
The Whisper Man
$187 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment in the early Oscars 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer epic, which delivered strong box office returns exceeding $1.6 billion and critical acclaim near 94% on Rotten Tomatoes. Its prestige adaptation status, combined with Nolan’s recent Oscar history, gives it frontrunner positioning among writers branch voters who often reward literary pedigree and directorial cachet. The Black Ball and The Invite trail closely at 18.5–25%, reflecting solid early campaign momentum and source material strength, while Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three sit lower amid competition from other literary and sci-fi adaptations. With the field wide open nine months before nominations, guild results, festival debuts, and late-year releases remain key swing factors in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,651Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment in the early Oscars 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer epic, which delivered strong box office returns exceeding $1.6 billion and critical acclaim near 94% on Rotten Tomatoes. Its prestige adaptation status, combined with Nolan’s recent Oscar history, gives it frontrunner positioning among writers branch voters who often reward literary pedigree and directorial cachet. The Black Ball and The Invite trail closely at 18.5–25%, reflecting solid early campaign momentum and source material strength, while Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three sit lower amid competition from other literary and sci-fi adaptations. With the field wide open nine months before nominations, guild results, festival debuts, and late-year releases remain key swing factors in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,651Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads trader sentiment in the early Oscars 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of the Homer epic, which delivered strong box office returns exceeding $1.6 billion and critical acclaim near 94% on Rotten Tomatoes. Its prestige adaptation status, combined with Nolan’s recent Oscar history, gives it frontrunner positioning among writers branch voters who often reward literary pedigree and directorial cachet. The Black Ball and The Invite trail closely at 18.5–25%, reflecting solid early campaign momentum and source material strength, while Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three sit lower amid competition from other literary and sci-fi adaptations. With the field wide open nine months before nominations, guild results, festival debuts, and late-year releases remain key swing factors in this fluid race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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