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Élections·Primaires

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Élections·Primaires

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Ann Marie Donegan

$1,169 Vol.

No

Ed FitzGerald

$2,124 Vol.

No

John Butchko

$1,231 Vol.

No

Michael Eisner

$1,208 Vol.

No

Keith Mundy

$1,149 Vol.

No

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$925 Vol.

No

Brian Poindexter

$9,612 Vol.

Yes

Scott Schulz

$1,682 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
Date de fin
5 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
Date de fin
5 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Brian Poindexter » à 100%, suivi de « Ann Marie Donegan » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner » a généré $19.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Brian Poindexter » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ann Marie Donegan » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.