Nico Collins has opened the 2026 season with strong red-zone production, scoring three receiving touchdowns on 14 receptions in his two active games while averaging 13.8 yards per catch and generating consistent targets from C.J. Stroud. A Grade 1 hamstring strain sidelined him for Weeks 2 and 3, contributing to the Texans’ 0-4 start, though Houston’s offense scored 61 points across the two contests Collins played versus just 23 without him. The 27-year-old’s established role as the clear WR1, deep threat profile, and yards-after-catch ability position him for volume if he stays healthy, but his recurring injury history—having missed at least two games in each of his prior seasons—remains the primary variable for total regular-season touchdowns. Favorable remaining schedule elements and Stroud’s connection could support additional scoring opportunities, while any extended absences would limit his ceiling.