Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13, 2026, between $90-$100, as the stock settled at $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down 9.7% amid elevated trading volume of over 115 million shares. This decisive positioning stems from Q1 earnings released that day, which featured disappointing Q2 revenue guidance below analyst estimates, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings' announcement of his board departure, eroding investor confidence after shares traded near $103 earlier in the week. Within a 52-week range of $75-$134, this post-earnings plunge solidifies the outcome, with negligible scenarios now capable of challenging resolution given the official close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour90 $-100 $ 100.0%
< 60 $ <1%
60 $-70 $ <1%
70 $ - 80 $ <1%
$222,298 Vol.
$222,298 Vol.
< 60 $
Non
60 $-70 $
Non
70 $ - 80 $
Non
80 $-90 $
Non
90 $-100 $
Oui
100 $-110 $
Non
110 $ - 120 $
Non
120 $-130 $
Non
130 $ - 140 $
Non
140 $-150 $
Non
>150 $
Non
90 $-100 $ 100.0%
< 60 $ <1%
60 $-70 $ <1%
70 $ - 80 $ <1%
$222,298 Vol.
$222,298 Vol.
< 60 $
Non
60 $-70 $
Non
70 $ - 80 $
Non
80 $-90 $
Non
90 $-100 $
Oui
100 $-110 $
Non
110 $ - 120 $
Non
120 $-130 $
Non
130 $ - 140 $
Non
140 $-150 $
Non
>150 $
Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13, 2026, between $90-$100, as the stock settled at $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down 9.7% amid elevated trading volume of over 115 million shares. This decisive positioning stems from Q1 earnings released that day, which featured disappointing Q2 revenue guidance below analyst estimates, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings' announcement of his board departure, eroding investor confidence after shares traded near $103 earlier in the week. Within a 52-week range of $75-$134, this post-earnings plunge solidifies the outcome, with negligible scenarios now capable of challenging resolution given the official close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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