Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Unai Emery as a slim favorite at 19.5% implied probability to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid manager, amid reports of club outreach to the Aston Villa boss after his strong Premier League campaign. The tightly bunched top tier—Pochettino (17.5%), Nagelsmann (17%), Mourinho and Luis Enrique (16.5% each)—stems from Arbeloa's shaky interim stint since replacing Xabi Alonso in January, marked by uneven La Liga results and early Champions League exit risks, prompting Florentino Pérez to eye proven tacticians like the USMNT's Pochettino (a personal favorite per March ESPN sources) and free agents Mourinho and Enrique. Klopp (14.5%) lingers on post-Liverpool appeal, while Enzo Maresca (13%) gains from Chelsea progress, underscoring a wide-open summer succession race hinging on end-of-season trophies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLuis Enrique 26%
Julian Nagelsmann 22%
Unai Emery 20%
Jose Mourinho 16%
$21,492 Vol.
$21,492 Vol.
Luis Enrique
17%
Julian Nagelsmann
22%
Unai Emery
20%
Jose Mourinho
16%
Jurgen Klopp
15%
Enzo Maresca
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
6%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Robert De Zerbi
3%
Andoni Iraola
2%
Oliver Glasner
2%
Zinedine Zidane
2%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique 26%
Julian Nagelsmann 22%
Unai Emery 20%
Jose Mourinho 16%
$21,492 Vol.
$21,492 Vol.
Luis Enrique
17%
Julian Nagelsmann
22%
Unai Emery
20%
Jose Mourinho
16%
Jurgen Klopp
15%
Enzo Maresca
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
6%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Robert De Zerbi
3%
Andoni Iraola
2%
Oliver Glasner
2%
Zinedine Zidane
2%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Unai Emery as a slim favorite at 19.5% implied probability to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid manager, amid reports of club outreach to the Aston Villa boss after his strong Premier League campaign. The tightly bunched top tier—Pochettino (17.5%), Nagelsmann (17%), Mourinho and Luis Enrique (16.5% each)—stems from Arbeloa's shaky interim stint since replacing Xabi Alonso in January, marked by uneven La Liga results and early Champions League exit risks, prompting Florentino Pérez to eye proven tacticians like the USMNT's Pochettino (a personal favorite per March ESPN sources) and free agents Mourinho and Enrique. Klopp (14.5%) lingers on post-Liverpool appeal, while Enzo Maresca (13%) gains from Chelsea progress, underscoring a wide-open summer succession race hinging on end-of-season trophies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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