Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors José Mourinho at 64.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next manager, driven by late-April reports that club president Florentino Pérez views the Benfica boss as his top choice to replace Álvaro Arbeloa, whose tenure since January's Xabi Alonso dismissal has soured amid a Champions League knockout and recent La Liga defeats like the loss to Mallorca. Arbeloa holds a strong 49.5% as the incumbent Castilla-promoted coach, reflecting potential for extension if results improve before season's end, while France's Didier Deschamps (16.4%) gains traction as a post-World Cup option alongside names like Mauricio Pochettino and Julian Nagelsmann amid Madrid's trophyless campaign pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJose Mourinho 66%
Didier Deschamps 16.8%
Mauricio Pochettino 11.0%
Jurgen Klopp 5.5%
$66,375 Vol.
$66,375 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
66%
Didier Deschamps
17%
Mauricio Pochettino
13%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
8%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Jose Mourinho 66%
Didier Deschamps 16.8%
Mauricio Pochettino 11.0%
Jurgen Klopp 5.5%
$66,375 Vol.
$66,375 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
66%
Didier Deschamps
17%
Mauricio Pochettino
13%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
8%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors José Mourinho at 64.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next manager, driven by late-April reports that club president Florentino Pérez views the Benfica boss as his top choice to replace Álvaro Arbeloa, whose tenure since January's Xabi Alonso dismissal has soured amid a Champions League knockout and recent La Liga defeats like the loss to Mallorca. Arbeloa holds a strong 49.5% as the incumbent Castilla-promoted coach, reflecting potential for extension if results improve before season's end, while France's Didier Deschamps (16.4%) gains traction as a post-World Cup option alongside names like Mauricio Pochettino and Julian Nagelsmann amid Madrid's trophyless campaign pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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