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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 57%

Charles Milliard 25%

Christine Fréchette 12.2%

Ruba Ghazal 2.8%

Polymarket

$45,348 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 57%

Charles Milliard 25%

Christine Fréchette 12.2%

Ruba Ghazal 2.8%

Polymarket

$45,348 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$7,296 Vol.

57%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$3,208 Vol.

25%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,950 Vol.

12%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$3,058 Vol.

3%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$7,055 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$4,039 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$16,743 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 57.5% due to the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage in a three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent byelection wins and strong Francophone support have reinforced PQ momentum under his long-standing leadership. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February 2026, has revived his party's standings to around 25-28% in polls, supporting his 25% market share through renewed opposition strength. Christine Fréchette's selection as CAQ leader has produced recent gains for the incumbent party to 21-22%, reflected in her 12.2% probability. Other candidates trail amid limited momentum. Trader pricing tracks these shifts in party positioning and voter intentions.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,348
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 57.5% due to the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage in a three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent byelection wins and strong Francophone support have reinforced PQ momentum under his long-standing leadership. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February 2026, has revived his party's standings to around 25-28% in polls, supporting his 25% market share through renewed opposition strength. Christine Fréchette's selection as CAQ leader has produced recent gains for the incumbent party to 21-22%, reflected in her 12.2% probability. Other candidates trail amid limited momentum. Trader pricing tracks these shifts in party positioning and voter intentions.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,348
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Premier of Quebec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 57%, suivi de « Charles Milliard » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Premier of Quebec » a généré $45.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Premier of Quebec », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Premier of Quebec » est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Charles Milliard » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Premier of Quebec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.