Anthropic's release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic Sonnet yet with near-Opus-level performance in coding, tool use, and agentic workflows at lower cost—has reset expectations for the next iteration. This followed the February 2026 launch of Sonnet 4.6 and aligned with the company's pattern of major Sonnet updates roughly every 4–6 months, often trailing or coinciding with Opus releases such as Opus 5 on July 24. Traders are weighing Anthropic's rapid iteration pace against deprecation timelines showing Sonnet 5 support through at least mid-2027, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, and the absence of confirmed development signals or leaks for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent. Key upcoming catalysts include any fall developer conferences, earnings updates, or API roadmap disclosures that could clarify whether the next model arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSuivant Claude Sonnet publié par… ?
Suivant Claude Sonnet publié par… ?
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
31 août
45%
31 octobre
76%
31 décembre
91%
$3,367 Vol.
31 août
$241 Vol.
45%
31 octobre
$197 Vol.
76%
31 décembre
$2,930 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic Sonnet yet with near-Opus-level performance in coding, tool use, and agentic workflows at lower cost—has reset expectations for the next iteration. This followed the February 2026 launch of Sonnet 4.6 and aligned with the company's pattern of major Sonnet updates roughly every 4–6 months, often trailing or coinciding with Opus releases such as Opus 5 on July 24. Traders are weighing Anthropic's rapid iteration pace against deprecation timelines showing Sonnet 5 support through at least mid-2027, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, and the absence of confirmed development signals or leaks for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent. Key upcoming catalysts include any fall developer conferences, earnings updates, or API roadmap disclosures that could clarify whether the next model arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,367Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic Sonnet yet with near-Opus-level performance in coding, tool use, and agentic workflows at lower cost—has reset expectations for the next iteration. This followed the February 2026 launch of Sonnet 4.6 and aligned with the company's pattern of major Sonnet updates roughly every 4–6 months, often trailing or coinciding with Opus releases such as Opus 5 on July 24. Traders are weighing Anthropic's rapid iteration pace against deprecation timelines showing Sonnet 5 support through at least mid-2027, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, and the absence of confirmed development signals or leaks for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent. Key upcoming catalysts include any fall developer conferences, earnings updates, or API roadmap disclosures that could clarify whether the next model arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,367Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic Sonnet yet with near-Opus-level performance in coding, tool use, and agentic workflows at lower cost—has reset expectations for the next iteration. This followed the February 2026 launch of Sonnet 4.6 and aligned with the company's pattern of major Sonnet updates roughly every 4–6 months, often trailing or coinciding with Opus releases such as Opus 5 on July 24. Traders are weighing Anthropic's rapid iteration pace against deprecation timelines showing Sonnet 5 support through at least mid-2027, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, and the absence of confirmed development signals or leaks for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent. Key upcoming catalysts include any fall developer conferences, earnings updates, or API roadmap disclosures that could clarify whether the next model arrives before year-end or slips into 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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