Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour24 juillet 100.0%
16 juillet 79%
15 juillet ou avant 29%
17 juillet <1%
$530,645 Vol.
$530,645 Vol.
15 juil. 2026
15 juillet ou avant
Non
16 juillet
Non
17 juillet
Non
18 juillet
Non
19 juillet
Non
20 juillet
Non
21 juillet
Non
22 juillet
Non
23 juillet
Non
24 juillet
Oui
25 juillet
Non
26 juillet
Non
27 juillet
Non
28 juillet
Non
29 juillet
Non
30 juillet
Non
31 juillet
Non
Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 juillet
Non
24 juillet 100.0%
16 juillet 79%
15 juillet ou avant 29%
17 juillet <1%
$530,645 Vol.
$530,645 Vol.
15 juil. 2026
15 juillet ou avant
$30 Vol.
Non
16 juillet
$191 Vol.
Non
17 juillet
$250 Vol.
Non
18 juillet
$1,018 Vol.
Non
19 juillet
$974 Vol.
Non
20 juillet
$1,771 Vol.
Non
21 juillet
$8,153 Vol.
Non
22 juillet
$2,888 Vol.
Non
23 juillet
$75,048 Vol.
Non
24 juillet
$151,040 Vol.
Oui
25 juillet
$29,640 Vol.
Non
26 juillet
$30,912 Vol.
Non
27 juillet
$25,821 Vol.
Non
28 juillet
$38,299 Vol.
Non
29 juillet
$32,296 Vol.
Non
30 juillet
$45,275 Vol.
Non
31 juillet
$19,165 Vol.
Non
Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 juillet
$67,876 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
Volume
$530,645Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$530,645Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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