Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show New Zealand First consistently polling in the 10–12% range, frequently securing third place behind the two largest parties amid coalition partner dynamics and voter shifts. The Green Party trails at 9–12% in most surveys, reflecting fluctuating support on environmental and social issues. Labour and National remain locked in a close contest for first and second, with recent results highlighting Labour gains in some samples and National’s challenges under the current government. ACT and Te Pāti Māori register lower single-digit figures, limiting their prospects for a podium finish under the MMP system. These polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 45%
New Zealand First Party 41%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 7.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
Green Party
37%
New Zealand First Party
56%
Labour Party
18%
National Party
7%
ACT New Zealand
6%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party 45%
New Zealand First Party 41%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 7.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
Green Party
$363 Vol.
37%
New Zealand First Party
$278 Vol.
56%
Labour Party
$432 Vol.
18%
National Party
$284 Vol.
7%
ACT New Zealand
$331 Vol.
6%
Te Pāti Māori
$246 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show New Zealand First consistently polling in the 10–12% range, frequently securing third place behind the two largest parties amid coalition partner dynamics and voter shifts. The Green Party trails at 9–12% in most surveys, reflecting fluctuating support on environmental and social issues. Labour and National remain locked in a close contest for first and second, with recent results highlighting Labour gains in some samples and National’s challenges under the current government. ACT and Te Pāti Māori register lower single-digit figures, limiting their prospects for a podium finish under the MMP system. These polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$1,934Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show New Zealand First consistently polling in the 10–12% range, frequently securing third place behind the two largest parties amid coalition partner dynamics and voter shifts. The Green Party trails at 9–12% in most surveys, reflecting fluctuating support on environmental and social issues. Labour and National remain locked in a close contest for first and second, with recent results highlighting Labour gains in some samples and National’s challenges under the current government. ACT and Te Pāti Māori register lower single-digit figures, limiting their prospects for a podium finish under the MMP system. These polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$1,934Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show New Zealand First consistently polling in the 10–12% range, frequently securing third place behind the two largest parties amid coalition partner dynamics and voter shifts. The Green Party trails at 9–12% in most surveys, reflecting fluctuating support on environmental and social issues. Labour and National remain locked in a close contest for first and second, with recent results highlighting Labour gains in some samples and National’s challenges under the current government. ACT and Te Pāti Māori register lower single-digit figures, limiting their prospects for a podium finish under the MMP system. These polling patterns underpin the current trader consensus on third-place outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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