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icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ?

$40,792 Vol.

30 sept. 2026
Polymarket

$40,792 Vol.

Polymarket

30 septembre

$6,728 Vol.

7%

31 décembre

$10,478 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's parliamentary speaker position, held by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf since 2020, faces ongoing pressure from hardline factions including the Paydari Front despite his May 2026 reelection with Supreme Leader Khamenei's support. Internal regime debates over US negotiations amid the 2026 conflict, Ghalibaf's role as lead negotiator, and hardliner criticism of his pragmatism and past scandals shape stability. Recent committee reshuffles and deputy leadership moves signal factional tensions, while his IRGC ties and mediation efforts could either reinforce or erode backing depending on diplomatic outcomes. Next annual speaker vote timing and any shifts in Khamenei-aligned consensus remain key variables for removal probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,792
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's parliamentary speaker position, held by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf since 2020, faces ongoing pressure from hardline factions including the Paydari Front despite his May 2026 reelection with Supreme Leader Khamenei's support. Internal regime debates over US negotiations amid the 2026 conflict, Ghalibaf's role as lead negotiator, and hardliner criticism of his pragmatism and past scandals shape stability. Recent committee reshuffles and deputy leadership moves signal factional tensions, while his IRGC ties and mediation efforts could either reinforce or erode backing depending on diplomatic outcomes. Next annual speaker vote timing and any shifts in Khamenei-aligned consensus remain key variables for removal probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,792
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 16%, suivi de « 30 septembre » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 16¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » a généré $40.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 16%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 septembre » à 7%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mohammed Ghalibaf sorti en tant que président du Parlement iranien par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.