Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a consistent edge in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District House race, leading Republican challenger Joe Teirab by 4–6 points in the latest polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 538, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% for Democrats. Recent developments include Craig's strong fundraising advantage—over $5 million raised versus Teirab's $1 million—and a late October debate where she defended her record on issues like border security and insulin costs, while Teirab highlighted inflation critiques backed by a Trump endorsement. This competitive swing district (D+3 partisan lean) sees GOP national momentum tightening the race, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% provide structural support for Craig despite battleground volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
35%
Parti démocrate
59%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
35%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a consistent edge in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District House race, leading Republican challenger Joe Teirab by 4–6 points in the latest polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 538, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% for Democrats. Recent developments include Craig's strong fundraising advantage—over $5 million raised versus Teirab's $1 million—and a late October debate where she defended her record on issues like border security and insulin costs, while Teirab highlighted inflation critiques backed by a Trump endorsement. This competitive swing district (D+3 partisan lean) sees GOP national momentum tightening the race, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% provide structural support for Craig despite battleground volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a consistent edge in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District House race, leading Republican challenger Joe Teirab by 4–6 points in the latest polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 538, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% for Democrats. Recent developments include Craig's strong fundraising advantage—over $5 million raised versus Teirab's $1 million—and a late October debate where she defended her record on issues like border security and insulin costs, while Teirab highlighted inflation critiques backed by a Trump endorsement. This competitive swing district (D+3 partisan lean) sees GOP national momentum tightening the race, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% provide structural support for Craig despite battleground volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a consistent edge in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District House race, leading Republican challenger Joe Teirab by 4–6 points in the latest polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 538, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% for Democrats. Recent developments include Craig's strong fundraising advantage—over $5 million raised versus Teirab's $1 million—and a late October debate where she defended her record on issues like border security and insulin costs, while Teirab highlighted inflation critiques backed by a Trump endorsement. This competitive swing district (D+3 partisan lean) sees GOP national momentum tightening the race, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% provide structural support for Craig despite battleground volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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