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icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

oct. 30

oct. 30

1.5-2.0% 33%

2.0-2.5% 30%

2.5-3.0% 21%

3.0-3.5% 2.4%

Polymarket

$25,539 Vol.

1.5-2.0% 33%

2.0-2.5% 30%

2.5-3.0% 21%

3.0-3.5% 2.4%

Polymarket

$25,539 Vol.

<0.5%

$452 Vol.

1%

0.5-1.0%

$339 Vol.

<1%

1.0-1.5%

$3,413 Vol.

2%

1.5-2.0%

$8,446 Vol.

33%

2.0-2.5%

$10,910 Vol.

30%

2.5-3.0%

$1,128 Vol.

21%

3.0-3.5%

$418 Vol.

2%

3.5%+

$433 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q3 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 1.5–2.5% range amid a post-Q2 rebound that lifted quarter-over-quarter expansion to 1.4% after a 0.6% contraction. Traders price in moderation from subdued private investment, softer domestic demand, and external headwinds including elevated energy costs tied to Middle East tensions and lingering USMCA uncertainty. Recent data show August inflation rising to 3.26% year-over-year, prompting Banxico to hold the policy rate at 6.5% and reinforcing a cautious monetary stance. Government and private forecasts have been trimmed to 1–2% for the full year, with Q3 momentum now hinging on industrial output, retail sales, and export resilience ahead of the October 30 release.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,539
Date de fin
30 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico’s Q3 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 1.5–2.5% range amid a post-Q2 rebound that lifted quarter-over-quarter expansion to 1.4% after a 0.6% contraction. Traders price in moderation from subdued private investment, softer domestic demand, and external headwinds including elevated energy costs tied to Middle East tensions and lingering USMCA uncertainty. Recent data show August inflation rising to 3.26% year-over-year, prompting Banxico to hold the policy rate at 6.5% and reinforcing a cautious monetary stance. Government and private forecasts have been trimmed to 1–2% for the full year, with Q3 momentum now hinging on industrial output, retail sales, and export resilience ahead of the October 30 release.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,539
Date de fin
30 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1.5-2.0% » à 33%, suivi de « 2.0-2.5% » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? » a généré $25.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? » est « 1.5-2.0% » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2.0-2.5% » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.