**SPD holds a strong trader consensus for second place in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026.** Recent polls from multiple institutes (INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, pollytix) show the AfD leading at 36-38% while the incumbent SPD trails narrowly at 30-35%, well ahead of the Left party (9-12%), CDU (6-8%), Greens (5%), and BSW (3-5%). The SPD's incremental gains in the final weeks have widened its margin over challengers for second, consistent with historical patterns in eastern state races where the party maintains a solid base despite AfD strength. Smaller parties remain far behind, and the four-day window to election day offers limited scope for major shifts in the ordering. Traders price this outcome at 78% implied probability, reflecting the stable polling hierarchy and low volatility among trailing contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSPD 77%
AfD 19.3%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$92,084 Vol.
$92,084 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
SPD
77%
AfD
19%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Les Verts
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 77%
AfD 19.3%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$92,084 Vol.
$92,084 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
SPD
$41,091 Vol.
77%
AfD
$38,517 Vol.
19%
FDP
$3,084 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$1,902 Vol.
<1%
Les Verts
$1,944 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$1,877 Vol.
<1%
FW
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$1,920 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong trader consensus for second place in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026.** Recent polls from multiple institutes (INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, pollytix) show the AfD leading at 36-38% while the incumbent SPD trails narrowly at 30-35%, well ahead of the Left party (9-12%), CDU (6-8%), Greens (5%), and BSW (3-5%). The SPD's incremental gains in the final weeks have widened its margin over challengers for second, consistent with historical patterns in eastern state races where the party maintains a solid base despite AfD strength. Smaller parties remain far behind, and the four-day window to election day offers limited scope for major shifts in the ordering. Traders price this outcome at 78% implied probability, reflecting the stable polling hierarchy and low volatility among trailing contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$92,084Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong trader consensus for second place in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026.** Recent polls from multiple institutes (INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, pollytix) show the AfD leading at 36-38% while the incumbent SPD trails narrowly at 30-35%, well ahead of the Left party (9-12%), CDU (6-8%), Greens (5%), and BSW (3-5%). The SPD's incremental gains in the final weeks have widened its margin over challengers for second, consistent with historical patterns in eastern state races where the party maintains a solid base despite AfD strength. Smaller parties remain far behind, and the four-day window to election day offers limited scope for major shifts in the ordering. Traders price this outcome at 78% implied probability, reflecting the stable polling hierarchy and low volatility among trailing contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$92,084Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**SPD holds a strong trader consensus for second place in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026.** Recent polls from multiple institutes (INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, pollytix) show the AfD leading at 36-38% while the incumbent SPD trails narrowly at 30-35%, well ahead of the Left party (9-12%), CDU (6-8%), Greens (5%), and BSW (3-5%). The SPD's incremental gains in the final weeks have widened its margin over challengers for second, consistent with historical patterns in eastern state races where the party maintains a solid base despite AfD strength. Smaller parties remain far behind, and the four-day window to election day offers limited scope for major shifts in the ordering. Traders price this outcome at 78% implied probability, reflecting the stable polling hierarchy and low volatility among trailing contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Linke remportera-t-il le troisième plus grand nombre de sièges aux élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
82%
Oui
Le parti AfD va-t-il remporter le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
77%
Oui
Le Linke obtiendra-t-il entre 8 % et 11 % de tous les seconds votes valides ?
55%
Oui
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