Malta’s snap general election on 30 May 2026 follows a shortened campaign amid polling that projects turnout between roughly 77% and 88%, continuing the decline from the 85.6% recorded in 2022. Elevated numbers of undecided voters and rising abstention trends have anchored trader consensus on the sub-85% bracket as the leading outcome. Major parties are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts, including expanded overseas early voting, yet the final days of participation remain the dominant variable ahead of polling. Historical Maltese turnout has long exceeded 90%, but recent surveys and the compressed timeline have shifted implied probabilities toward the lower range without clear evidence of reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<85% 56%
85-90% 35%
90-95% 6.6%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,584 Vol.
$27,584 Vol.
<85%
56%
85-90%
35%
90-95%
7%
95%+
2%
<85% 56%
85-90% 35%
90-95% 6.6%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,584 Vol.
$27,584 Vol.
<85%
56%
85-90%
35%
90-95%
7%
95%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Malta’s snap general election on 30 May 2026 follows a shortened campaign amid polling that projects turnout between roughly 77% and 88%, continuing the decline from the 85.6% recorded in 2022. Elevated numbers of undecided voters and rising abstention trends have anchored trader consensus on the sub-85% bracket as the leading outcome. Major parties are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts, including expanded overseas early voting, yet the final days of participation remain the dominant variable ahead of polling. Historical Maltese turnout has long exceeded 90%, but recent surveys and the compressed timeline have shifted implied probabilities toward the lower range without clear evidence of reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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