Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate bid against Ed Markey, carries a Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+11 partisan voting index, anchoring trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism. A crowded nine-candidate Democratic primary contrasts sharply with a lone Republican contender, attorney and Army veteran Micah Jones, who launched in February 2026—yet no polls, fundraising surges, or momentum have emerged to contest the baseline partisan edge in this North Shore stronghold. The September 1 primaries loom, with an August 25 filing deadline potentially introducing late GOP recruits. While odds exceed 90%, a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm wave could realistically narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate bid against Ed Markey, carries a Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+11 partisan voting index, anchoring trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism. A crowded nine-candidate Democratic primary contrasts sharply with a lone Republican contender, attorney and Army veteran Micah Jones, who launched in February 2026—yet no polls, fundraising surges, or momentum have emerged to contest the baseline partisan edge in this North Shore stronghold. The September 1 primaries loom, with an August 25 filing deadline potentially introducing late GOP recruits. While odds exceed 90%, a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm wave could realistically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate bid against Ed Markey, carries a Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+11 partisan voting index, anchoring trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism. A crowded nine-candidate Democratic primary contrasts sharply with a lone Republican contender, attorney and Army veteran Micah Jones, who launched in February 2026—yet no polls, fundraising surges, or momentum have emerged to contest the baseline partisan edge in this North Shore stronghold. The September 1 primaries loom, with an August 25 filing deadline potentially introducing late GOP recruits. While odds exceed 90%, a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm wave could realistically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate bid against Ed Markey, carries a Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+11 partisan voting index, anchoring trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism. A crowded nine-candidate Democratic primary contrasts sharply with a lone Republican contender, attorney and Army veteran Micah Jones, who launched in February 2026—yet no polls, fundraising surges, or momentum have emerged to contest the baseline partisan edge in this North Shore stronghold. The September 1 primaries loom, with an August 25 filing deadline potentially introducing late GOP recruits. While odds exceed 90%, a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm wave could realistically narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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