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Politique·Primaires

MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Market icon
Politique·Primaires

MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Dan Koh 83%

Dominick Pangallo 4.9%

Tram Nguyen 4.0%

Mariah Lancaster 4.0%

Polymarket

$32,342 Vol.

Dan Koh 83%

Dominick Pangallo 4.9%

Tram Nguyen 4.0%

Mariah Lancaster 4.0%

Polymarket

$32,342 Vol.

Dan Koh

$3,757 Vol.

83%

Dominick Pangallo

$5,759 Vol.

5%

Tram Nguyen

$3,984 Vol.

4%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,740 Vol.

4%

Kevin Larivee

$1,233 Vol.

4%

Seth Moulton

$1,544 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,525 Vol.

2%

Rick Jakious

$2,924 Vol.

2%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$4,821 Vol.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$1,874 Vol.

1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$1,777 Vol.

<1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,406 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, former Biden White House aide Dan Koh holds a commanding trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, driven by his record-breaking fundraising—over $1.5 million in Q1 2026 alone—and early ballot qualification on March 27 as the first candidate to submit over 2,000 signatures. High-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Marty Walsh, and recently Swampscott Select Board Vice Chair Doug Thompson on April 1 have bolstered his frontrunner status amid a crowded field of eleven Democrats, including Mayor Dominick Pangallo and Tram Nguyen. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's March Senate challenge against Ed Markey created the vacancy, amplifying Koh's organizational edge absent public polling. Late developments like additional endorsements or debates could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,342
Date de fin
15 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, former Biden White House aide Dan Koh holds a commanding trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability, driven by his record-breaking fundraising—over $1.5 million in Q1 2026 alone—and early ballot qualification on March 27 as the first candidate to submit over 2,000 signatures. High-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Marty Walsh, and recently Swampscott Select Board Vice Chair Doug Thompson on April 1 have bolstered his frontrunner status amid a crowded field of eleven Democrats, including Mayor Dominick Pangallo and Tram Nguyen. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's March Senate challenge against Ed Markey created the vacancy, amplifying Koh's organizational edge absent public polling. Late developments like additional endorsements or debates could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,342
Date de fin
15 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Dan Koh » à 83%, suivi de « Dominick Pangallo » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » a généré $32.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est « Dan Koh » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dominick Pangallo » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « MA-06 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.