Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?
Khamenei # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
23 juin 2026
<5
Non
5-9
No
10-14
Yes
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
Non
55-59
Non
60+
Non
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
23 juin 2026
<5
$8,382 Vol.
Non
5-9
$2,963 Vol.
No
10-14
$1,633 Vol.
Yes
15-19
$1,645 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,328 Vol.
No
25-29
$761 Vol.
No
30-34
$874 Vol.
No
35-39
$843 Vol.
No
40-44
$1,010 Vol.
No
45-49
$869 Vol.
No
50-54
$885 Vol.
Non
55-59
$720 Vol.
Non
60+
$1,207 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$23,122Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$23,122Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes