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icon for Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ?

icon for Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$21,305 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$21,305 Vol.

<5

$7,779 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$3,026 Vol.

No

10-14

$2,018 Vol.

No

15-19

$1,977 Vol.

No

20-24

$1,300 Vol.

No

25-29

$1,416 Vol.

No

30-34

$1,396 Vol.

No

35-39

$396 Vol.

No

40-44

$370 Vol.

No

45-49

$330 Vol.

No

50-54

$430 Vol.

No

55-59

$437 Vol.

No

60+

$430 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,305
Date de fin
21 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,305
Date de fin
21 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <5 » à 100%, suivi de « 5-9 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ? » a généré $21.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ? » est « <5 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 5-9 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 14 août - 21 août 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.