Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, following Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13. Powell has publicly stated he will step down from the chairmanship but remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal matters and institutional considerations, with his governor term extending until January 2028. This transition occurs amid broader discussions of Federal Reserve independence, Senate confirmation processes for nominees, and the historical pattern of chairs relinquishing board seats upon leaving the leadership role. Traders assessing any departure timeline weigh these confirmed procedural steps against the possibility of extended service as a governor or unforeseen delays in the handover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$242,226 Vol.
June 30
100%
May 31
100%
$242,226 Vol.
June 30
100%
May 31
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, following Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13. Powell has publicly stated he will step down from the chairmanship but remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal matters and institutional considerations, with his governor term extending until January 2028. This transition occurs amid broader discussions of Federal Reserve independence, Senate confirmation processes for nominees, and the historical pattern of chairs relinquishing board seats upon leaving the leadership role. Traders assessing any departure timeline weigh these confirmed procedural steps against the possibility of extended service as a governor or unforeseen delays in the handover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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