**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.** That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$423,227 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
9 septembre
1%
11 septembre
3%
13 septembre
14%
15 septembre
14%
September 30
69%
$423,227 Vol.
9 septembre
$22,406 Vol.
1%
11 septembre
$8,997 Vol.
3%
13 septembre
$11,643 Vol.
14%
15 septembre
$72,548 Vol.
14%
September 30
$99,128 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.**
That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ET
Volume
$423,227Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.**
That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$423,227Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.** That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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