Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$475,363 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
12 avril
Non
14 avril
Oui
19 avril
Oui
30 avril
Oui
$475,363 Vol.
12 avril
$90,350 Vol.
Non
14 avril
$195,518 Vol.
Oui
19 avril
$122,896 Vol.
Oui
30 avril
$66,597 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$475,363Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$475,363Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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