The July 2026 fatal shooting of Johan Sebastián Durán Guerrero during an ICE vehicle stop in Biddeford, Maine, triggered internal DHS and ICE reviews focused on use-of-force protocols, with the involved agent identified publicly only through family statements citing self-defense claims amid reports of prior behavioral concerns. No criminal charges or DOJ filings materialized by the August 31 deadline, consistent with historical patterns in which federal immigration enforcement officers face administrative scrutiny far more often than indictments in comparable incidents. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects the absence of any announced prosecution or grand jury action through late summer, alongside the administration's emphasis on officer protections during enforcement operations. Late-breaking evidence from ongoing investigations or shifts in prosecutorial priorities could still prompt charges after the cutoff, though such developments would fall outside the market's resolution window.