Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and the IAEA continue to block inspector access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites, with no verification activities conducted at these facilities since June 2025 following U.S.-Israeli strikes. An interim June 2026 understanding briefly raised expectations for resumed oversight of enriched uranium stockpiles and downblending, yet Iran has conditioned any visits on a final agreement and sanctions relief, leading to contradictory statements from both sides. The IAEA's September 2026 referral of Iran to the UN Security Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first in two decades—highlights the impasse, citing the agency's inability to verify material location, composition, or enrichment activities amid satellite-observed site activity. Negotiations on modalities remain stalled, with upcoming UNSC discussions and any bilateral talks likely to determine whether access occurs in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
L'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
$374,320 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
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31 décembre
13%
$374,320 Vol.
31 octobre
$83,994 Vol.
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$36,927 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and the IAEA continue to block inspector access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites, with no verification activities conducted at these facilities since June 2025 following U.S.-Israeli strikes. An interim June 2026 understanding briefly raised expectations for resumed oversight of enriched uranium stockpiles and downblending, yet Iran has conditioned any visits on a final agreement and sanctions relief, leading to contradictory statements from both sides. The IAEA's September 2026 referral of Iran to the UN Security Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first in two decades—highlights the impasse, citing the agency's inability to verify material location, composition, or enrichment activities amid satellite-observed site activity. Negotiations on modalities remain stalled, with upcoming UNSC discussions and any bilateral talks likely to determine whether access occurs in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$374,320Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and the IAEA continue to block inspector access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites, with no verification activities conducted at these facilities since June 2025 following U.S.-Israeli strikes. An interim June 2026 understanding briefly raised expectations for resumed oversight of enriched uranium stockpiles and downblending, yet Iran has conditioned any visits on a final agreement and sanctions relief, leading to contradictory statements from both sides. The IAEA's September 2026 referral of Iran to the UN Security Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first in two decades—highlights the impasse, citing the agency's inability to verify material location, composition, or enrichment activities amid satellite-observed site activity. Negotiations on modalities remain stalled, with upcoming UNSC discussions and any bilateral talks likely to determine whether access occurs in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$374,320Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and the IAEA continue to block inspector access to the Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites, with no verification activities conducted at these facilities since June 2025 following U.S.-Israeli strikes. An interim June 2026 understanding briefly raised expectations for resumed oversight of enriched uranium stockpiles and downblending, yet Iran has conditioned any visits on a final agreement and sanctions relief, leading to contradictory statements from both sides. The IAEA's September 2026 referral of Iran to the UN Security Council for safeguards non-compliance—the first in two decades—highlights the impasse, citing the agency's inability to verify material location, composition, or enrichment activities amid satellite-observed site activity. Negotiations on modalities remain stalled, with upcoming UNSC discussions and any bilateral talks likely to determine whether access occurs in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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