The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour150k+ 100.0%
<-50k <1%
-50k – 0 <1%
0 – 50k <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
<-50k
Non
-50k – 0
Non
0 – 50k
Non
50 000 – 100 000
Non
100k – 150k
Non
150k+
Oui
150k+ 100.0%
<-50k <1%
-50k – 0 <1%
0 – 50k <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
<-50k
$9,871 Vol.
Non
-50k – 0
$12,299 Vol.
Non
0 – 50k
$30,532 Vol.
Non
50 000 – 100 000
$10,494 Vol.
Non
100k – 150k
$5,993 Vol.
Non
150k+
$6,415 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Volume
$75,604Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$75,604Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes