Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts currently split 10-7 in favor of Republicans following 2024 flips in the 7th and 8th. Trader pricing centers on Democrats reaching 9-11 seats because four Republican-held districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—remain highly competitive after narrow 2024 margins and strong Democratic recruitment. The national midterm environment, with a Republican president facing typical opposition-party advantages, plus recent state-level Democratic overperformance in special elections, supports modest net gains without widespread redistricting changes. Fundraising, suburban turnout in the Philadelphia corridor, and candidate strength in these battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats hold at 9 or push toward 11.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour9 37%
11 27%
10 20%
8 6%
$14,038 Vol.
$14,038 Vol.
<7
<1%
7
3%
8
6%
9
37%
10
20%
11
27%
12+
8%
9 37%
11 27%
10 20%
8 6%
$14,038 Vol.
$14,038 Vol.
<7
<1%
7
3%
8
6%
9
37%
10
20%
11
27%
12+
8%
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts currently split 10-7 in favor of Republicans following 2024 flips in the 7th and 8th. Trader pricing centers on Democrats reaching 9-11 seats because four Republican-held districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—remain highly competitive after narrow 2024 margins and strong Democratic recruitment. The national midterm environment, with a Republican president facing typical opposition-party advantages, plus recent state-level Democratic overperformance in special elections, supports modest net gains without widespread redistricting changes. Fundraising, suburban turnout in the Philadelphia corridor, and candidate strength in these battlegrounds will determine whether Democrats hold at 9 or push toward 11.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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