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icon for Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ?
Politique·Trump

Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ?

icon for Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ?
Politique·Trump

Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ?

8 46%

9 28%

7 15%

6 13%

Polymarket

$22,120 Vol.

8 46%

9 28%

7 15%

6 13%

Polymarket

$22,120 Vol.

<5

$599 Vol.

<1%

5

$830 Vol.

<1%

6

$7,847 Vol.

13%

7

$2,014 Vol.

15%

8

$5,234 Vol.

46%

9

$4,630 Vol.

28%

10+

$966 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Michigan’s 13 congressional districts enter the 2026 midterms with a narrow 7-6 Republican edge established after 2024. Trader consensus clustering around 8 Democratic seats reflects expectations that Democrats will net one or two gains in the three primary battlegrounds: the open 10th District, where former Rep. John James is running for governor; the 7th, held by freshman Republican Tom Barrett; and the 4th, defended by Rep. Bill Huizenga. August primaries finalized matchups in these districts, including a progressive Democratic nominee in the 7th, while Cook Political Report and other forecasters recently shifted ratings on the 8th and 10th toward Democrats. National midterm dynamics and Michigan’s independent redistricting process sustain the tight distribution across 6–9 seats, with limited district-level polling leaving room for late movement before November.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$22,120
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Michigan’s 13 congressional districts enter the 2026 midterms with a narrow 7-6 Republican edge established after 2024. Trader consensus clustering around 8 Democratic seats reflects expectations that Democrats will net one or two gains in the three primary battlegrounds: the open 10th District, where former Rep. John James is running for governor; the 7th, held by freshman Republican Tom Barrett; and the 4th, defended by Rep. Bill Huizenga. August primaries finalized matchups in these districts, including a progressive Democratic nominee in the 7th, while Cook Political Report and other forecasters recently shifted ratings on the 8th and 10th toward Democrats. National midterm dynamics and Michigan’s independent redistricting process sustain the tight distribution across 6–9 seats, with limited district-level polling leaving room for late movement before November.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$22,120
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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59%
Oui
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43%
Oui
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37%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 8 » à 46%, suivi de « 9 » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ? » a généré $22.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ? » est « 8 » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 9 » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre dans le Michigan ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.