USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de tremblements de terre de 6,5 ou plus entre le 17 et le 23 août ?
Combien de tremblements de terre de 6,5 ou plus entre le 17 et le 23 août ?
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$20,612 Vol.
$20,612 Vol.
23 août 2026
0
Non
1
Oui
2
Non
3
Non
4
Non
5
Non
>5
Non
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$20,612 Vol.
$20,612 Vol.
23 août 2026
0
$4,873 Vol.
Non
1
$5,874 Vol.
Oui
2
$4,582 Vol.
Non
3
$853 Vol.
Non
4
$791 Vol.
Non
5
$1,298 Vol.
Non
>5
$2,341 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$20,612Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$20,612Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes