USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
>9 100.0%
9 1.2%
≤5 <1%
6 <1%
$104,792 Vol.
$104,792 Vol.
8 juin 2026
≤5
No
6
No
7
No
8
No
9
No
>9
Yes
>9 100.0%
9 1.2%
≤5 <1%
6 <1%
$104,792 Vol.
$104,792 Vol.
8 juin 2026
≤5
$82,435 Vol.
No
6
$5,206 Vol.
No
7
$638 Vol.
No
8
$1,133 Vol.
No
9
$8,528 Vol.
No
>9
$6,852 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$104,792Date de fin
8 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$104,792Date de fin
8 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
USGS seismic monitoring confirms more than nine earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between June 1 and June 7, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of that outcome to 100 percent. Routine tectonic activity along major subduction zones and fault systems, including events such as a magnitude 6.2 near Italy and several magnitude 5.5–5.7 shocks off Oregon, Japan, and other regions, produced a weekly total exceeding the typical global baseline of roughly 10–15 such events. Trader consensus reflects the final USGS catalog, with little uncertainty once the observation window closed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to rare post-review magnitude revisions for borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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