Ant Middleton’s Everest bid from Base Camp follows the standard commercial-expedition playbook, where multiple acclimatization rotations between camps—essential for safe adaptation on the Lhotse Face and South Col—routinely stretch the active climbing window well past six days. Traders have priced this traditional, safety-first approach at near-certainty, reflecting the team’s emphasis on rotations rather than any aggressive record attempt. An upset into the five-to-six-day bracket would require skipping key acclimatization cycles or an unusually stable weather window enabling a compressed final push, scenarios the market currently views as highly improbable given historical patterns and the expedition’s confirmed conservative strategy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
> 6 days 100.0%
< 2 days <1%
2 - 3 days <1%
3 - 4 days <1%
$14,439 Vol.
$14,439 Vol.
30 mai 2026
< 2 days
No
2 - 3 days
No
3 - 4 days
No
4 - 5 days
No
5 - 6 days
No
> 6 days
Yes
Not Completed
No
> 6 days 100.0%
< 2 days <1%
2 - 3 days <1%
3 - 4 days <1%
$14,439 Vol.
$14,439 Vol.
30 mai 2026
< 2 days
$1,533 Vol.
No
2 - 3 days
$3,002 Vol.
No
3 - 4 days
$1,851 Vol.
No
4 - 5 days
$1,003 Vol.
No
5 - 6 days
$649 Vol.
No
> 6 days
$2,641 Vol.
Yes
Not Completed
$3,761 Vol.
No
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ant Middleton’s Everest bid from Base Camp follows the standard commercial-expedition playbook, where multiple acclimatization rotations between camps—essential for safe adaptation on the Lhotse Face and South Col—routinely stretch the active climbing window well past six days. Traders have priced this traditional, safety-first approach at near-certainty, reflecting the team’s emphasis on rotations rather than any aggressive record attempt. An upset into the five-to-six-day bracket would require skipping key acclimatization cycles or an unusually stable weather window enabling a compressed final push, scenarios the market currently views as highly improbable given historical patterns and the expedition’s confirmed conservative strategy.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$14,439Date de fin
30 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ant Middleton’s Everest bid from Base Camp follows the standard commercial-expedition playbook, where multiple acclimatization rotations between camps—essential for safe adaptation on the Lhotse Face and South Col—routinely stretch the active climbing window well past six days. Traders have priced this traditional, safety-first approach at near-certainty, reflecting the team’s emphasis on rotations rather than any aggressive record attempt. An upset into the five-to-six-day bracket would require skipping key acclimatization cycles or an unusually stable weather window enabling a compressed final push, scenarios the market currently views as highly improbable given historical patterns and the expedition’s confirmed conservative strategy.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,439Date de fin
30 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ant Middleton’s Everest bid from Base Camp follows the standard commercial-expedition playbook, where multiple acclimatization rotations between camps—essential for safe adaptation on the Lhotse Face and South Col—routinely stretch the active climbing window well past six days. Traders have priced this traditional, safety-first approach at near-certainty, reflecting the team’s emphasis on rotations rather than any aggressive record attempt. An upset into the five-to-six-day bracket would require skipping key acclimatization cycles or an unusually stable weather window enabling a compressed final push, scenarios the market currently views as highly improbable given historical patterns and the expedition’s confirmed conservative strategy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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