Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's rodent-borne transmission biology, which rarely sustains efficient human-to-human spread beyond close contact. A May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship produced roughly 10–12 cases and three deaths, yet CDC and WHO monitoring through mid-June detected no imported U.S. cases or community transmission after contact tracing and 42-day observation periods ended. Official assessments rate global pandemic risk as extremely low, consistent with historical hantavirus patterns showing sporadic, localized pulmonary syndrome incidents without airborne or sustained chains. A realistic shift would require an undetected evolutionary change boosting transmissibility or a major rodent population surge in populated areas, neither of which current surveillance data indicate before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Pandémie d'hantavirus en 2026 ?
Oui
$15,319,186 Vol.
$15,319,186 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$15,319,186 Vol.
$15,319,186 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's rodent-borne transmission biology, which rarely sustains efficient human-to-human spread beyond close contact. A May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship produced roughly 10–12 cases and three deaths, yet CDC and WHO monitoring through mid-June detected no imported U.S. cases or community transmission after contact tracing and 42-day observation periods ended. Official assessments rate global pandemic risk as extremely low, consistent with historical hantavirus patterns showing sporadic, localized pulmonary syndrome incidents without airborne or sustained chains. A realistic shift would require an undetected evolutionary change boosting transmissibility or a major rodent population surge in populated areas, neither of which current surveillance data indicate before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$15,319,186Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's rodent-borne transmission biology, which rarely sustains efficient human-to-human spread beyond close contact. A May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship produced roughly 10–12 cases and three deaths, yet CDC and WHO monitoring through mid-June detected no imported U.S. cases or community transmission after contact tracing and 42-day observation periods ended. Official assessments rate global pandemic risk as extremely low, consistent with historical hantavirus patterns showing sporadic, localized pulmonary syndrome incidents without airborne or sustained chains. A realistic shift would require an undetected evolutionary change boosting transmissibility or a major rodent population surge in populated areas, neither of which current surveillance data indicate before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,319,257Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's rodent-borne transmission biology, which rarely sustains efficient human-to-human spread beyond close contact. A May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship produced roughly 10–12 cases and three deaths, yet CDC and WHO monitoring through mid-June detected no imported U.S. cases or community transmission after contact tracing and 42-day observation periods ended. Official assessments rate global pandemic risk as extremely low, consistent with historical hantavirus patterns showing sporadic, localized pulmonary syndrome incidents without airborne or sustained chains. A realistic shift would require an undetected evolutionary change boosting transmissibility or a major rodent population surge in populated areas, neither of which current surveillance data indicate before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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