Recent stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, revised upward with exports as the main driver, has lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.0-1.3% and positioned the 1.0-1.2% year-over-year range as the leading market-implied outcome for Q3. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, stemming from Middle East tensions, continue to weigh on private consumption, supporting the 24.5% odds on 0.7-0.9%. Temporary drags from low Rhine water levels have constrained industrial output, though recovering conditions have tempered downside risks to stagnation. Expansionary fiscal policy on infrastructure and defense provides offsetting support, while the first Destatis release on October 30 remains the key resolution catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1.0-1.2% 42%
0.7-0.9% 25%
1.3%+ 14%
≤0.0% 6.2%
$32,203 Vol.
$32,203 Vol.
30 oct. 2026
≤0.0%
6%
0.1-0.3%
<1%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
25%
1.0-1.2%
42%
1.3%+
14%
1.0-1.2% 42%
0.7-0.9% 25%
1.3%+ 14%
≤0.0% 6.2%
$32,203 Vol.
$32,203 Vol.
30 oct. 2026
≤0.0%
$1,305 Vol.
6%
0.1-0.3%
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
0.4-0.6%
$685 Vol.
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,360 Vol.
25%
1.0-1.2%
$19,361 Vol.
42%
1.3%+
$4,063 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, revised upward with exports as the main driver, has lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.0-1.3% and positioned the 1.0-1.2% year-over-year range as the leading market-implied outcome for Q3. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, stemming from Middle East tensions, continue to weigh on private consumption, supporting the 24.5% odds on 0.7-0.9%. Temporary drags from low Rhine water levels have constrained industrial output, though recovering conditions have tempered downside risks to stagnation. Expansionary fiscal policy on infrastructure and defense provides offsetting support, while the first Destatis release on October 30 remains the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$32,203Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, revised upward with exports as the main driver, has lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.0-1.3% and positioned the 1.0-1.2% year-over-year range as the leading market-implied outcome for Q3. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, stemming from Middle East tensions, continue to weigh on private consumption, supporting the 24.5% odds on 0.7-0.9%. Temporary drags from low Rhine water levels have constrained industrial output, though recovering conditions have tempered downside risks to stagnation. Expansionary fiscal policy on infrastructure and defense provides offsetting support, while the first Destatis release on October 30 remains the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,203Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, revised upward with exports as the main driver, has lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.0-1.3% and positioned the 1.0-1.2% year-over-year range as the leading market-implied outcome for Q3. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, stemming from Middle East tensions, continue to weigh on private consumption, supporting the 24.5% odds on 0.7-0.9%. Temporary drags from low Rhine water levels have constrained industrial output, though recovering conditions have tempered downside risks to stagnation. Expansionary fiscal policy on infrastructure and defense provides offsetting support, while the first Destatis release on October 30 remains the key resolution catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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