Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations center on subdued industrial momentum after Q1’s confirmed 0.3% quarter-over-quarter expansion. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Iran conflict drove April inflation to 2.9% before easing to 2.6% in May, while the May manufacturing PMI held at 50.1 with contracting new orders and surging input costs, prompting full-year 2026 forecasts to be revised lower to 0.5–0.6%. These headwinds are partially offset by gradual rollout of defense and infrastructure spending under the reformed fiscal framework alongside resilient exports. With the flash release scheduled for July 30, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 0.1–0.3% and 0.4–0.6% bins, reflecting sensitivity to incoming PMI and energy-price data amid elevated uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≤0.0% 4%
1.3%+ 3.4%
0.1-0.3% 0
0.4-0.6% 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juil. 2026
≤0.0%
24%
0.1-0.3%
51%
0.4-0.6%
46%
0.7-0.9%
44%
1.0-1.2%
28%
1.3%+
3%
≤0.0% 4%
1.3%+ 3.4%
0.1-0.3% 0
0.4-0.6% 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juil. 2026
≤0.0%
$174 Vol.
24%
0.1-0.3%
$151 Vol.
51%
0.4-0.6%
$76 Vol.
46%
0.7-0.9%
$89 Vol.
44%
1.0-1.2%
$57 Vol.
28%
1.3%+
$76 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations center on subdued industrial momentum after Q1’s confirmed 0.3% quarter-over-quarter expansion. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Iran conflict drove April inflation to 2.9% before easing to 2.6% in May, while the May manufacturing PMI held at 50.1 with contracting new orders and surging input costs, prompting full-year 2026 forecasts to be revised lower to 0.5–0.6%. These headwinds are partially offset by gradual rollout of defense and infrastructure spending under the reformed fiscal framework alongside resilient exports. With the flash release scheduled for July 30, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 0.1–0.3% and 0.4–0.6% bins, reflecting sensitivity to incoming PMI and energy-price data amid elevated uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$623Date de fin
30 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations center on subdued industrial momentum after Q1’s confirmed 0.3% quarter-over-quarter expansion. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Iran conflict drove April inflation to 2.9% before easing to 2.6% in May, while the May manufacturing PMI held at 50.1 with contracting new orders and surging input costs, prompting full-year 2026 forecasts to be revised lower to 0.5–0.6%. These headwinds are partially offset by gradual rollout of defense and infrastructure spending under the reformed fiscal framework alongside resilient exports. With the flash release scheduled for July 30, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 0.1–0.3% and 0.4–0.6% bins, reflecting sensitivity to incoming PMI and energy-price data amid elevated uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$623Date de fin
30 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth expectations center on subdued industrial momentum after Q1’s confirmed 0.3% quarter-over-quarter expansion. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Iran conflict drove April inflation to 2.9% before easing to 2.6% in May, while the May manufacturing PMI held at 50.1 with contracting new orders and surging input costs, prompting full-year 2026 forecasts to be revised lower to 0.5–0.6%. These headwinds are partially offset by gradual rollout of defense and infrastructure spending under the reformed fiscal framework alongside resilient exports. With the flash release scheduled for July 30, trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 0.1–0.3% and 0.4–0.6% bins, reflecting sensitivity to incoming PMI and energy-price data amid elevated uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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