$16,436,362 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025
August 31
$135,032 Vol.
No
September 30
$85,242 Vol.
No
October 15
$867,420 Vol.
No
October 31
$2,951,588 Vol.
No
November 15
$3,759,910 Vol.
No
November 22
$3,032,166 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,626,435 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$978,569 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Aug 7, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$16,436,362Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Créé le
Aug 7, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
$16,436,362 Vol.
August 31
$135,032 Vol.
No
September 30
$85,242 Vol.
No
October 15
$867,420 Vol.
No
October 31
$2,951,588 Vol.
No
November 15
$3,759,910 Vol.
No
November 22
$3,032,166 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$4,626,435 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$978,569 Vol.
Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Gemini 3.0 released by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 22" at 100%, followed by "November 30" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Gemini 3.0 released by...?" has generated $16.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Gemini 3.0 released by...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Gemini 3.0 released by...?" is "November 22" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "November 30" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Gemini 3.0 released by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions