Polymarket traders are split in a razor-thin race between $4,600-$5,000 (19.5%) and $4,200-$4,600 (18.3%) for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, reflecting bullish consensus on persistent inflation and Fed easing amid post-election fiscal stimulus risks. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,750/oz on safe-haven flows and dollar volatility, with central bank buying at record levels adding tailwinds. Key differentiators: December FOMC dot plot and CPI data, where softer prints could propel implied odds toward $5,000+ via accelerated rate cuts (now 75% for 25bps in Dec per CME FedWatch). Upside risks from tariffs outweigh USD strength threats, but historical easing cycles suggest 10-15% gains from current ~$2,740 spot levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÀ quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
4 600 $-5 000 $ 20%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 18.2%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 14.4%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 12.7%
$429,314 Vol.
$429,314 Vol.
<3 800 $
9%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
13%
4 200 $-4 600 $
18%
4 600 $-5 000 $
20%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
14%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
10%
5 800 $-6 200 $
9%
>6 200 $
8%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 20%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 18.2%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 14.4%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 12.7%
$429,314 Vol.
$429,314 Vol.
<3 800 $
9%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
13%
4 200 $-4 600 $
18%
4 600 $-5 000 $
20%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
14%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
10%
5 800 $-6 200 $
9%
>6 200 $
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders are split in a razor-thin race between $4,600-$5,000 (19.5%) and $4,200-$4,600 (18.3%) for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, reflecting bullish consensus on persistent inflation and Fed easing amid post-election fiscal stimulus risks. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,750/oz on safe-haven flows and dollar volatility, with central bank buying at record levels adding tailwinds. Key differentiators: December FOMC dot plot and CPI data, where softer prints could propel implied odds toward $5,000+ via accelerated rate cuts (now 75% for 25bps in Dec per CME FedWatch). Upside risks from tariffs outweigh USD strength threats, but historical easing cycles suggest 10-15% gains from current ~$2,740 spot levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes