Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDonalds 20–25 % 100.0%
Donalds 25–30 % 2.3%
Donalds 40 %+ <1%
Donalds 35–40 % <1%
$87,179 Vol.
$87,179 Vol.
18 août 2026
Donalds 40 %+
Non
Donalds 35–40 %
Non
Donalds 30–35 %
Non
Donalds 25–30 %
Non
Donalds 20–25 %
Oui
Donalds 15–20 %
Non
Donalds 10–15 %
Non
Donalds 5–10 %
Non
Donalds <5%
Non
Collins gagne
Non
Fishback gagne
Non
Donalds 20–25 % 100.0%
Donalds 25–30 % 2.3%
Donalds 40 %+ <1%
Donalds 35–40 % <1%
$87,179 Vol.
$87,179 Vol.
18 août 2026
Donalds 40 %+
$34,848 Vol.
Non
Donalds 35–40 %
$15,397 Vol.
Non
Donalds 30–35 %
$7,840 Vol.
Non
Donalds 25–30 %
$8,792 Vol.
Non
Donalds 20–25 %
$2,218 Vol.
Oui
Donalds 15–20 %
$3,879 Vol.
Non
Donalds 10–15 %
$3,381 Vol.
Non
Donalds 5–10 %
$3,330 Vol.
Non
Donalds <5%
$4,275 Vol.
Non
Collins gagne
$2,193 Vol.
Non
Fishback gagne
$1,025 Vol.
Non
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$87,179Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$87,179Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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