Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District holds an open-seat jungle primary on November 3, 2026, under the state’s majority-vote system that requires more than 50 percent for an outright win and sends the top two to a December 12 runoff otherwise. Nine candidates qualified, including multiple Republicans such as state Sen. Stewart Cathey, Misti Cordell, state Reps. Michael Echols and Gabe Firment, plus Austin Magee and others, alongside three Democrats. The solidly Republican district features a fragmented field with no candidate holding dominant name recognition, unified party backing, or polling support near a majority. Vote splitting among Republicans combined with the smaller Democratic share has produced trader consensus that an outright first-round winner is highly improbable. Late consolidation around one contender or an unexpected surge could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
2% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
2% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District holds an open-seat jungle primary on November 3, 2026, under the state’s majority-vote system that requires more than 50 percent for an outright win and sends the top two to a December 12 runoff otherwise. Nine candidates qualified, including multiple Republicans such as state Sen. Stewart Cathey, Misti Cordell, state Reps. Michael Echols and Gabe Firment, plus Austin Magee and others, alongside three Democrats. The solidly Republican district features a fragmented field with no candidate holding dominant name recognition, unified party backing, or polling support near a majority. Vote splitting among Republicans combined with the smaller Democratic share has produced trader consensus that an outright first-round winner is highly improbable. Late consolidation around one contender or an unexpected surge could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,769Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District holds an open-seat jungle primary on November 3, 2026, under the state’s majority-vote system that requires more than 50 percent for an outright win and sends the top two to a December 12 runoff otherwise. Nine candidates qualified, including multiple Republicans such as state Sen. Stewart Cathey, Misti Cordell, state Reps. Michael Echols and Gabe Firment, plus Austin Magee and others, alongside three Democrats. The solidly Republican district features a fragmented field with no candidate holding dominant name recognition, unified party backing, or polling support near a majority. Vote splitting among Republicans combined with the smaller Democratic share has produced trader consensus that an outright first-round winner is highly improbable. Late consolidation around one contender or an unexpected surge could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
Volume
$1,769Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District holds an open-seat jungle primary on November 3, 2026, under the state’s majority-vote system that requires more than 50 percent for an outright win and sends the top two to a December 12 runoff otherwise. Nine candidates qualified, including multiple Republicans such as state Sen. Stewart Cathey, Misti Cordell, state Reps. Michael Echols and Gabe Firment, plus Austin Magee and others, alongside three Democrats. The solidly Republican district features a fragmented field with no candidate holding dominant name recognition, unified party backing, or polling support near a majority. Vote splitting among Republicans combined with the smaller Democratic share has produced trader consensus that an outright first-round winner is highly improbable. Late consolidation around one contender or an unexpected surge could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes