Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured a dominant 76% in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, while Democrat Caitlyn Gegen advanced with 60%. The solidly Republican district, rated safe by multiple forecasters, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. This partisan composition and low expected Democratic vote share drive trader consensus that the November 3 general election will produce a majority winner on the first ballot. A runoff remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen late scandal, health development, or dramatically higher-than-anticipated opposition turnout that narrows the margin below 50%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
98% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
98% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured a dominant 76% in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, while Democrat Caitlyn Gegen advanced with 60%. The solidly Republican district, rated safe by multiple forecasters, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. This partisan composition and low expected Democratic vote share drive trader consensus that the November 3 general election will produce a majority winner on the first ballot. A runoff remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen late scandal, health development, or dramatically higher-than-anticipated opposition turnout that narrows the margin below 50%.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured a dominant 76% in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, while Democrat Caitlyn Gegen advanced with 60%. The solidly Republican district, rated safe by multiple forecasters, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. This partisan composition and low expected Democratic vote share drive trader consensus that the November 3 general election will produce a majority winner on the first ballot. A runoff remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen late scandal, health development, or dramatically higher-than-anticipated opposition turnout that narrows the margin below 50%.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Volume
$848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured a dominant 76% in the May 2026 primary for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, while Democrat Caitlyn Gegen advanced with 60%. The solidly Republican district, rated safe by multiple forecasters, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. This partisan composition and low expected Democratic vote share drive trader consensus that the November 3 general election will produce a majority winner on the first ballot. A runoff remains possible only in the event of an unforeseen late scandal, health development, or dramatically higher-than-anticipated opposition turnout that narrows the margin below 50%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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