**Trader consensus at 97.4% for an outright winner in the GA-06 general election on November 3, 2026, reflects the district’s entrenched Democratic lean and limited competition.** Georgia’s 6th congressional district is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing unopposed in the May Democratic primary and holding a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Kevin Martin secured his party’s nomination in a low-profile contest after the May primary, but faces structural disadvantages from historical voting patterns and redistricting effects that favor Democrats. In this environment, the probability of any candidate falling short of 50% and triggering a December 1 runoff remains low. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late major scandal, candidate health event, or unforeseen national political shift dramatically altering turnout or support in the Atlanta suburbs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.**Trader consensus at 97.4% for an outright winner in the GA-06 general election on November 3, 2026, reflects the district’s entrenched Democratic lean and limited competition.** Georgia’s 6th congressional district is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing unopposed in the May Democratic primary and holding a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Kevin Martin secured his party’s nomination in a low-profile contest after the May primary, but faces structural disadvantages from historical voting patterns and redistricting effects that favor Democrats. In this environment, the probability of any candidate falling short of 50% and triggering a December 1 runoff remains low.
Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late major scandal, candidate health event, or unforeseen national political shift dramatically altering turnout or support in the Atlanta suburbs.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$234Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.**Trader consensus at 97.4% for an outright winner in the GA-06 general election on November 3, 2026, reflects the district’s entrenched Democratic lean and limited competition.** Georgia’s 6th congressional district is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing unopposed in the May Democratic primary and holding a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Kevin Martin secured his party’s nomination in a low-profile contest after the May primary, but faces structural disadvantages from historical voting patterns and redistricting effects that favor Democrats. In this environment, the probability of any candidate falling short of 50% and triggering a December 1 runoff remains low.
Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late major scandal, candidate health event, or unforeseen national political shift dramatically altering turnout or support in the Atlanta suburbs.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Volume
$234Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 97.4% for an outright winner in the GA-06 general election on November 3, 2026, reflects the district’s entrenched Democratic lean and limited competition.** Georgia’s 6th congressional district is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing unopposed in the May Democratic primary and holding a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Kevin Martin secured his party’s nomination in a low-profile contest after the May primary, but faces structural disadvantages from historical voting patterns and redistricting effects that favor Democrats. In this environment, the probability of any candidate falling short of 50% and triggering a December 1 runoff remains low. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late major scandal, candidate health event, or unforeseen national political shift dramatically altering turnout or support in the Atlanta suburbs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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