**James Kingston secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District with 52.4% in the May 2026 primary, avoiding a runoff, while Amanda Hollowell emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning her June runoff.** The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the prior incumbent’s comfortable 2024 victory. Kingston’s fundraising edge and the absence of major Democratic challengers position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. In this two-candidate contest, trader consensus at 61.9% for an outright majority reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical margins, though Georgia’s 50% threshold leaves room for a competitive outcome to trigger a December runoff if turnout or margins tighten. No significant late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
89% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
89% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**James Kingston secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District with 52.4% in the May 2026 primary, avoiding a runoff, while Amanda Hollowell emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning her June runoff.**
The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the prior incumbent’s comfortable 2024 victory. Kingston’s fundraising edge and the absence of major Democratic challengers position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. In this two-candidate contest, trader consensus at 61.9% for an outright majority reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical margins, though Georgia’s 50% threshold leaves room for a competitive outcome to trigger a December runoff if turnout or margins tighten. No significant late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,149Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**James Kingston secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District with 52.4% in the May 2026 primary, avoiding a runoff, while Amanda Hollowell emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning her June runoff.**
The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the prior incumbent’s comfortable 2024 victory. Kingston’s fundraising edge and the absence of major Democratic challengers position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. In this two-candidate contest, trader consensus at 61.9% for an outright majority reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical margins, though Georgia’s 50% threshold leaves room for a competitive outcome to trigger a December runoff if turnout or margins tighten. No significant late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
Volume
$1,149Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**James Kingston secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District with 52.4% in the May 2026 primary, avoiding a runoff, while Amanda Hollowell emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning her June runoff.** The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the prior incumbent’s comfortable 2024 victory. Kingston’s fundraising edge and the absence of major Democratic challengers position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. In this two-candidate contest, trader consensus at 61.9% for an outright majority reflects the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical margins, though Georgia’s 50% threshold leaves room for a competitive outcome to trigger a December runoff if turnout or margins tighten. No significant late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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