The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 72.2% implied probability after securing a record nine Emmy nominations in July, including for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Its massive scale, 128 million viewers, and strong critical and guild recognition across directing, production design, choreography, and technical categories give it clear momentum over perennial award-show contenders. The Oscars sit at 18.4% as a reliable frontrunner in past cycles, while the Golden Globes, Tonys, and Grammys trail with far fewer supporting nods. Emmy voting remains open ahead of the September ceremony, leaving room for late shifts in academy sentiment, though the halftime show's nomination dominance currently anchors trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Spécial variété exceptionnelle (en direct)
Le spectacle de la mi-temps du Super Bowl LX avec Bad Bunny 72.2%
Les Oscars 20.4%
Les Golden Globes 5.6%
Les Tony Awards 3.9%
$46,195 Vol.
$46,195 Vol.
Le spectacle de la mi-temps du Super Bowl LX avec Bad Bunny
72%
Les Oscars
18%
Les Golden Globes
6%
Les Tony Awards
4%
Les Grammys
1%
Le spectacle de la mi-temps du Super Bowl LX avec Bad Bunny 72.2%
Les Oscars 20.4%
Les Golden Globes 5.6%
Les Tony Awards 3.9%
$46,195 Vol.
$46,195 Vol.
Le spectacle de la mi-temps du Super Bowl LX avec Bad Bunny
72%
Les Oscars
18%
Les Golden Globes
6%
Les Tony Awards
4%
Les Grammys
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 72.2% implied probability after securing a record nine Emmy nominations in July, including for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Its massive scale, 128 million viewers, and strong critical and guild recognition across directing, production design, choreography, and technical categories give it clear momentum over perennial award-show contenders. The Oscars sit at 18.4% as a reliable frontrunner in past cycles, while the Golden Globes, Tonys, and Grammys trail with far fewer supporting nods. Emmy voting remains open ahead of the September ceremony, leaving room for late shifts in academy sentiment, though the halftime show's nomination dominance currently anchors trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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