The Traitors dominates trader consensus at 86.2% implied probability following its July 8, 2026 Emmy nominations and back-to-back prior wins in the category. Its strong production values, Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, and effective awards campaign have sustained momentum against nominees including RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef. Recent coverage of Season 4’s finale and consistent industry predictions reinforce its frontrunner status, with limited late shifts expected before the September ceremony. Historical voting patterns favor repeat winners with proven critical and audience engagement in the reality competition space.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Série réalité/compétition exceptionnelle
« Les Traîtres » 87.9%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race » 10.1%
« Survivor » 3.5%
« Dancing with the Stars » <1%
$19,200 Vol.
$19,200 Vol.
« Les Traîtres »
88%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race »
10%
« Survivor »
3%
« Dancing with the Stars »
1%
« Top Chef »
1%
« Les Traîtres » 87.9%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race » 10.1%
« Survivor » 3.5%
« Dancing with the Stars » <1%
$19,200 Vol.
$19,200 Vol.
« Les Traîtres »
88%
« RuPaul’s Drag Race »
10%
« Survivor »
3%
« Dancing with the Stars »
1%
« Top Chef »
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors dominates trader consensus at 86.2% implied probability following its July 8, 2026 Emmy nominations and back-to-back prior wins in the category. Its strong production values, Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, and effective awards campaign have sustained momentum against nominees including RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Dancing with the Stars, and Top Chef. Recent coverage of Season 4’s finale and consistent industry predictions reinforce its frontrunner status, with limited late shifts expected before the September ceremony. Historical voting patterns favor repeat winners with proven critical and audience engagement in the reality competition space.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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