Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMoins de 40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11 mai 2026
Moins de 40
Oui
40-64
Non
65-89
Non
90-114
Non
115-139
Non
140-164
No
165-189
Non
190-214
Non
215-239
Non
240+
Non
Moins de 40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11 mai 2026
Moins de 40
$382,037 Vol.
Oui
40-64
$238,372 Vol.
Non
65-89
$331,921 Vol.
Non
90-114
$508,477 Vol.
Non
115-139
$59,227 Vol.
Non
140-164
$25,016 Vol.
No
165-189
$23,326 Vol.
Non
190-214
$11,833 Vol.
Non
215-239
$10,591 Vol.
Non
240+
$4,499 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,595,299Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,595,299Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes