Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,465,900 Vol.
$2,465,900 Vol.
20 avr. 2026
<40
Non
40-64
Oui
65-89
Non
90-114
Non
115-139
Non
140-164
Non
165-189
Non
190-214
Non
215-239
Non
240+
Non
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,465,900 Vol.
$2,465,900 Vol.
20 avr. 2026
<40
$709,532 Vol.
Non
40-64
$465,516 Vol.
Oui
65-89
$423,202 Vol.
Non
90-114
$357,450 Vol.
Non
115-139
$160,228 Vol.
Non
140-164
$126,406 Vol.
Non
165-189
$73,597 Vol.
Non
190-214
$39,652 Vol.
Non
215-239
$30,405 Vol.
Non
240+
$79,912 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,465,900Date de fin
20 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,465,900Date de fin
20 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18, 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 12:00 PM ET, as the official xtracker confirms the exact tally—main feed posts, quotes, and reposts only, excluding replies—falling precisely in this bin. This strong positioning stems from Elon's consistent mid-volume rhythm, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid engagements on Grok AI advancements, Australian birth rate declines, charitable scrutiny, and EU censorship pushback, without the tweet storms seen in prior high-news weeks. No major catalysts like product launches or feuds spiked activity, aligning with his moderated April 2026 pace. Realistic upsets are negligible post-period, barring oracle disputes over edge-case counts, which historical resolutions deem improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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