Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour300-319 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,942,624 Vol.
$13,942,624 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Non
280-299
Non
300-319
Oui
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Non
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
300-319 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,942,624 Vol.
$13,942,624 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Non
280-299
Non
300-319
Oui
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Non
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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